MedellinBnB

Medellín Airbnb Seasonality Data: High vs Low Season Pricing by Percentage

March 24, 2026 ·

If you’re investing in an Airbnb in Medellín, seasonality should be managed month by month. A single annual ADR target hides real demand swings and usually leads to pricing mistakes.

Calendar image for Medellin Airbnb seasonality by month
Use a monthly seasonality calendar to set ADR and occupancy targets with more precision.

Seasonality by month (planning map)

  • High season months: July, August, December, January
  • Shoulder months: February, March, May, September, October
  • Low season months: April, June, November

This map is the practical starting point for underwriting and pricing. Then you adjust by neighborhood and listing quality.

Feria de las Flores (August) and adjacent demand

Feria de las Flores is in August (official city programming). That month should be treated as high season in Medellín pricing strategy.

In many portfolios, booking pressure can remain elevated into parts of September depending on lead-time and event spillover. For that reason, September is often managed as a strong shoulder month (or partial peak windows), not as a deep low month.

Why July, December, and January are high-season months

  • July: mid-year vacation travel and stronger family/leisure movement in many markets.
  • December: year-end holidays and festive travel demand typically push rates higher.
  • January: continuation of holiday travel and vacation patterns before full normalization.

These months usually support stronger ADR tolerance for well-positioned listings.

Why April, June, and November are often weaker

  • April: outside holiday spikes, this month often softens versus peak windows.
  • June: commonly a softer transition period before stronger event/vacation windows.
  • November: frequently one of the softer pre-December demand periods.

Percentage bands and numeric example

Using baseline ADR = USD 90:

  • High season: +15% to +30% → USD 104–117 (COP ~416k–468k)
  • Shoulder: -5% to +10% → USD 86–99 (COP ~344k–396k)
  • Low season: -10% to -25% → USD 68–81 (COP ~272k–324k)

Illustrative monthly revenue for the same 1BR:

  • High month: 24 nights × USD 110 = USD 2,640
  • Shoulder month: 22 nights × USD 92 = USD 2,024
  • Low month: 18 nights × USD 74 = USD 1,332

That is roughly a 49.5% difference from high to low month in this example.

Bottom line: classify months first, then price. In Medellín, August is a clear peak month (Feria), July/December/January are usually high-demand, and April/June/November should be modeled more conservatively.

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